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COTTON STATISTICS AND NEWS Issue No.19 DT.10/08/2010

CAB UPS ITS ESTIMATE OF BOTH AREA AND PRODUCTION IN 2009-10

The Cotton Advisory Board (CAB) met in Mumbai on July 30, 2010, with the Textile Commissioner, Shri A.B. Joshi in the Chair. It was well attended with representatives of all the segments of the cotton industry participating and leading to lively discussion.

The Board has revised its previous estimate of both area and production of cotton during 2009-10 made in April 2010. The current estimate has placed the area at 103.29 lakh hectares (vs 101.71 lakh hectares) and production at 295 lakh bales (vs 292 lakh bales). It has also raised its estimate of exports from the previous 80 lakh bales to 83 lakh bales now, while the estimate of imports has been retained at 7 lakh bales.

The State-wise details of the estimates of area and production are given in the following table.

Area in lakh hectares
Production in lakh bales

State
2008-09
2009-10
Area
Production
Area
Production
Punjab
5.27
17.50
5.36
14.25
Haryana
4.56
14.00
5.07
14.75
Rajasthan
3.02
7.50
4.44
11.00
North Zone
12.85
39.00
14.87
40.00
Gujarat
23.54
90.00
26.25
98.00
Maharashtra
31.42
62.00
35.03
63.00
Madhya Pradesh
6.25
18.00
6.04
15.00
Central Zone
61.21
170.00
67.32
176.00
Andhra Pradesh
13.99
53.00
14.83
52.00
Karnataka
4.08
9.00
4.27
9.00
Tamil Nadu
1.09
5.00
1.14
5.00
South Zone
19.16
67.00
20.24
66.00
Others
0.84
2.00
0.86
1.00
Total
94.06
278.00
103.29
283.00
Loose Cotton
-
12.00
-
12.00
All India
290.00
295.00

The increase made in production is mostly in the case of Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh, while the production estimate has been marginally lowered in the case of Karnataka. As may be expected, there was considerable discussion on the national level of production with the representatives of different segments indicating their own estimates which ranged from 223.2
lakh bales to 307 lakh bales. The CAB finally settled on the present estimate of 295 lakh bales. In the case of area, the increase has been mostly in the case of Andhra Pradesh whose area estimate has been raised from the previous 13.19 lakh hectares to 14.83 lakh hectares now. The CAB is expected to meet again in the near future to update the estimates.

As for foreign trade, the CAB has retained the estimate at the previous figure of 7 lakh bales while exports have been estimated to go up from the previous 80 lakh bales to 83 lakh bales now. This has been done on the basis of the latest situation on the export front. The estimates of mill consumption and consumption by small scale units have been retained at 207 lakh bales and 23 lakh bales respectively. The Cotton Balance Sheet as now revised by the CAB is given in the following table.

(in lakh bales)

 
2008-09
2009-10
Supply    
Opening Stock
35.50
71.50
Production
290.00
295.00
Imports
10.00
7.00
Total Supply
335.50
373.50
Demand
Mill Consumption
190.00
207.00
SSI Consumption
20.00
23.00
Non-Mill Consumption
19.00
20.00
Exports
35.00
83.00
Total Off-take
264.00
333.00
Carry-over Stock
71.50
40.50

The estimated closing stock, same as the one given last time, is 31 lakh bales lower than the opening stock.

(Source : Cotton Advisory Board)

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COTTON PLANTINGS MAKE FURTHER PROGRESS

The receipt of widespread rains has enabled farmers to continue with the planting of major kharif crops including cotton. As per information available from the Directorate of Cotton Development, Cotton Outlook has published State-wise area sown to cotton by the middle of July which is reproduced below:

(In lakh hectares)
Cotton Area sown upto July 15

State
2010-11
2009-10
Bt. Cotton
Non-Bt. Cotton
Total
Punjab
5.49
0.10
5.59
5.36
Haryana
4.13
0.31
4.44
5.07
Rajasthan
1.60
0.65
2.25
4.00
Gujarat
13.86
2.44
16.30
15.84
Maharashtra
30.77
3.42
34.19
22.19
Madhya Pradesh
4.81
0.53
5.34
5.23
Andhra Pradesh
11.85
0.01
11.86
8.12
Karnataka
1.63
0.41
2.04
2.28
Tamil Nadu
0.03
0.04
0.07
0.09
Other States
-
0.70
0.70
0.57
All-India
74.17
8.61
82.78
68.75

The total area sown to cotton by the middle of July has reached 82.8 lakh hectares, an increase of nearly 23 per cent compared to last year's sowings of 68.75 lakh hectares by the same period. The greatest jump in area has been in Maharashtra where the planted area of 34.2 lakh hectares is more than 54 per cent of last year. It may be recalled in this context that last year, cotton sowings were handicapped in the State in the initial stages for want of adequate rains. This year, however, good rains in June-July have helped cotton plantings. Farmers had also been enthusiastic to sow cotton since they have been able to realise good prices this year for kapas. The total area at the national level upto July middle is about 81 per cent of the total cotton area of 101.75 lakh hectares under the crop last year. The expectation is that the final area planted this year may exceed last year's level by a few lakh hectares. Of the total area sown so far, about 89.6 per cent is under Bt cotton.

In a subsequent report in the press, the total sown area has been placed at 95 lakh hectares by the third week of July. State-wise details, are, however, not available.

(Source : Cotton Outlook, 23.07.2010 and Business Line, 24.07.2010)

DATA ON AREA, PRODUCTION, YIELD AND CONSUMPTION OF COTTON FOR THE PERIOD FROM 1991-92 SEASON ONWARDS
Cotton Year Area in Lakh Hectares Cotton Prod. in lakh b/s of 170 kg. each Production in 000's tones (mn. kg.) Cotton Yield in kg. / Hectare Cotton Consumption in lakh bales of 170 kg. each (Mill + Non-Mill + Small Spinning)
1991-1992
76.01
119.00
2023.00
266.14
111.09
1992-1993
75.41
138.00
2346.00
311.00
125.01
1993-1994
74.40
121.50
2065.00
278.00
127.00
1994-1995
78.61
138.50
2354.50
300.00
135.00
1995-1996
90.63
170.70
2901.90
320.00
154.29
1996-1997
91.66
177.90
3004.30
330.00
170.16
1997-1998
88.29
158.00
2686.00
307.00
159.01
1998-1999
92.87
165.00
2805.00
302.00
165.36
1999-2000
87.31
156.00
2652.00
304.00
173.36
2000-2001
85.76
140.00
2380.00
277.52
173.03
2001-2002
87.30
158.00
2686.00
307.67
171.76
2002-2003
76.67
136.00
2312.00
301.55
168.83
2003-2004
76.30
179.00
3043.00
398.82
177.10
2004-2005
87.86
243.00
4131.00
470.11
195.03
2005-2006
86.77
241.00
4097.00
472.17
217.00
2006-2007
91.44
280.00
4760.00
520.56
232.03
2007-2008
94.14
307.00
5219.00
554.39
236.88
2008-2009
(As per CAB 30.07.2010)
94.06
290.00
4930.00
524.13
229.00
2009-2010
(As per CAB 30.07.2010)
103.29
295.00
5015.00
485.53
250.00
Source : Office of the Textile Commissioner, Mumbai
S N I P P E T S

The Haryana Agriculture Department is reported to have launched an insurance plan for cotton, as also bajra. Farmers growing these crops can avail the benefit of this scheme, a spokesman of the Department is quoted to have stated. While crop insurance was necessary for those farmers who had availed loans from banks/financial institutions, even those farmers who have not availed of loans can also voluntarily opt for the crop insurance scheme, it is stated. Government also provides 10 per cent rebate on the insurance premium for small and medium farmers. After the rebate, farmers have to pay Rs. 1416 per hectare for cotton.

*****

Cotton farmers growing Bt cotton are said to be preferring to shift from single gene first generation hybrids (Bollguard I) to more advanced double gene versions (Bollguard II). The latter confers not only greater protection from bollworms but also to all other bollworms. Last year, the area under BG II is placed at 45.6 lakh hectares and it is expected to expand to 64.8 lakh hectares this year, states a report.

*****

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UPCOUNTRY SPOT RATES
 

SPOT RATES (UPCOUNTRY)
2009-10 CROP

July - August 2010

 
(in Rs. per candy)
Official quotations for Standard Descriptions with Basic Grade (Fine) & Staple in Millimetres (inches) * based on Upper Half mean Length under Bylaw 66 A(a)(4)
31st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
 
01. ICS-101 Below 22mm Bengal Deshi (RG) 5.0-7.0
15
23600
23600
23700
23800
23800
24000
02. ICS-201 Below 22mm Bengal Deshi (SG) 5.0-7.0
15
23800
23800
23900
24000
24000
24200
03. ICS-102 22mm V-797 4.5-5.9
19
20000
20000
20200
20400
20400
20600
04. ICS-103 23mm Jayadhar 4.0-5.5
19
21700
21700
21800
21900
21900
22100
05. ICS-104 24mm Y-1 4.0-5.5
20
25000
25000
25000
25100
25100
25300
06. ICS-202 25mm J-34 (SG) 3.5-4.9
23
29100
29100
29200
29300
29300
29500
07. ICS-105 25mm NHH-44 3.5-4.9
22
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
08. ICS-105 27mm LRA-5166 3.5-4.9
24
27300
27300
27500
27600
27600
27800
09. ICS-105 28mm H-4/ MECH-1 3.5-4.9
25
28500
28500
28600
28800
28800
29000
10. ICS-105 29mm S-6 3.5-4.9
26
29800
29800
29900
30100
30100
30300
11. ICS-105 31mm Bunny/ Brahma 3.5-4.9
27
30900
30900
30900
31000
31000
31200
12. ICS-106 33mm MCU-5/ Surabhi 3.3-4.5
28
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
13. ICS-107 35mm DCH-32 2.8-3.6
31
41500
41500
41600
41800
41800
42000
14. ICS-301 26mm ICC 3.7-4.3
25
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
N.A.
                       

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